We’ve
been focused these past few posts on what CAD will be like in 50 years:
How it will evolve, for example, into a full-blown 3D virtual
experience that lets designers move walls with their hands. But there
also are a couple of more expansive theories to consider: One is that
CAD goes away. The other is that (ya-ha-ha-haa!) -- CAD controls the
world!
The
case for CAD going away presumes that it’s absorbed into more powerful,
broad-based applications. (Certain implications would be dire indeed –
for example, what about today’s CAD jobs?) But in response to my appeal
for visions of CAD in 2057, AfterCAD Software CEO Chris Boothroyd
posited a far more optimistic future for CAD – one in which CAD
literally takes over other, less worthy applications, ultimately
becoming a sort of grand uber solution:
“CAD as an industry will continue to expand and occupy more and more
‘data niches’ in society that traditionally have been isolated in
professional knowledge silos,” Boothroyd contends.
“The same way Google liberated and popularized GIS with Maps and
Earth, the same revolution is happening right now in CAD and will
continue at an accelerated pace. Other technologies currently
running in parallel with CAD, namely: BIM, Edge Sensors (zigbee.org),
WiMax, smart homes/offices/factories, the Federal embracing of open
standards and the commoditization of real estate will offer significant
market incentive for CAD as an industry to grow into an
all-encompassing scaffold for ‘The Whole Shebang’ -- where at a point,
everything on the surface of the earth, including above and below, will
be managed as CAD. Everything.”
Though such a future could come to pass, I wonder what participants
in those other sectors are thinking? Specifically, do they see
themselves, rather than CAD, gobbling up everything else? (I think I
know how Oracle’s Larry Ellison would view it, for example.)
In
Chris’s vision, of course, the CAD industry and its jobs are secure.
More than secure actually, since as “Masters of the Whole Shebang,” CAD
experts will be pulling the levers formerly operated by pretty much
everyone else. It’ll be an awesome kick! (Though with it will come a
certain measure of responsibility – no wine with lunch, for example,
when so much will depend on the actions of this elite group).
Chris also offers some further drill-downs on what CAD folks will be up to in 2057:
- “CAD Managers will morph into ‘Publishing and
Standards’ as BIM and Smart Supply Chains (RFID) take hold. More
people are going to need access to real-time AEC/FM and MCAD data for
monitoring, maintenance and financial planning.”
- “CAD
Workers will morph into ‘CAD object interoperability engineers’ in that
they will be oriented around the monitoring of how different real-time
CAD objects are interacting with each other. FEA guys, you're gonna do
just fine.”
- “The line will continue to blur and eventually become indistinguishable between CAD Engineers and Game Developers.”
I couldn’t agree more on this last point. But given all the
explosions and hurtling body parts associated with video games, we may
want to be extra careful about ensuring that tomorrow’s CAD/game
developers don’t confuse their virtual worlds!
Related Links
50 Years After “Drafting Dan,” CAD Needs another Visionary Leap
Come on, People! Where Will CAD Be in 50 Years?
CAD Time Machine Departing Now for 2057, So Come Along!
Are You Ready for Ed Goldberg’s Vision for CAD in 50 Years?
In 50 Years, CAD Is Ancient History, Replaced by “VADD”